Leaderboard
Who called it first and best. Fresh start every transfer window.
Ranked by Swoop Rating (50 = level with the Index). No one-hit wonders: you need 10 settled calls and a settled rating.
Which club’s supporters actually know what’s going on? Settled by skill, not by how many of you there are.
Score = the average Swoop Rating (50 = level with the Index) of a club’s fans who have 3+ settled calls. A club needs 3 such fans to be ranked, so one lucky supporter can’t carry a fanbase. You count for the club you represented when you first called in your latest window, so switching mid-window changes nothing.
How the scoring works
You score by being more right than the Index, and by being right early. Jumping on a story after it breaks earns nothing: the Index counts every report from the moment it was published.
Reputation = Σ(weight × edge) ÷ (Σ weight + 10). Edge = time-averaged Brier advantage over the Index while you held a call; weight = min(1, √(time held ÷ 7 days)) (earlier sagas: share of the saga held).
Ranked by average Points per settled call (shrunk by 5 calls’ worth, so a couple of lucky calls can’t top it). You qualify at 5 settled calls.