Where’s Jean-Philippe Mateta heading?
The Index reckons Mateta stays put.
The question: where will Mateta be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Could be anywhere from 1% to 30%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Just rumours so far
- Last update
- 4h ago
- The fans say
- Nobody’s called it yet
How likely is Mateta to join Man Utd?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 15%.
Why 15%?
Nobody we trust has reported anything solid yet, so the Index assumes Mateta stays put (61%). Rumours from unchecked sources don’t count until a checked source backs them up.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
No reviewed source has reported meaningful progress, so the Index assumes Jean-Philippe Mateta stays put (61%). Unverified rumours carry no weight until a reviewed source reports them.
The evidence
Nothing solid yet. The Index is going on base rates.
What’s against it
Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.
The situation this week
This saga is less than a week old.
Number last recalculated 4h ago
What to watch
The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.
- A reliable report that Man Utd are interested15→25%Man Utd
- A reliable report that Man Utd have gone cold15→2%Man Utd
- Villa putting in a bid15→65%Villa
- Talk of a new contract61→97%Stays
Who’s winning the race?
- STAYStays at Palace62%
- MUNMan Utd15%
- AVLVilla15%
- OTHAnother club8%
Bar = the Index. Purple tick = what the fans think (0 fans).
Split your call across every outcomeIt’s a race, so you can back more than one club.
What’s your call?
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- STAYStays at PalaceIndex 6262%=
- MUNMan UtdIndex 1515%=
- AVLVillaIndex 1515%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 88%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
The story so far
The evidence trail
0 independent sources counted · earliest report we hold: 20 Oct by talkSPORT · latest 14d ago
0 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
- 20 Oct, 01:00·InterestMUNUnconfirmed · not counted yet
Man Utd interested. (our summary)
Every source, weighed
No checked source is moving the number yet. The Index is going on base rates.
The small print
- Status
- Open for calls
- Scoring window
- 2 Nov → 1 Feb, 23:00
- Rule applied
- R2/R3 — locks at official announcement or deadline
- Evidence
- Pending
Only official club or league confirmation resolves a move. “Done deal” reports never lock a situation. Full rulebook