MONAS Monaco·Player profile·Central midfielder

Where’s Lamine Camara heading?

The Index reckons Camara stays put.

The question: where will Camara be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?

OPENCalls close in …

A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.

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A small live card showing the Index on this transfer, linking back here. No tracking, nothing personal.

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LIVChance of Liverpool

±0

15%

Something in itNot much to go on

Could be anywhere from 1% to 30%. Not much to go on yet.

Pub talkSomething in itHeating upGetting closeHere we go?

Where it’s at: Just rumours so far
Last update: 4h ago
The fans say: Nobody’s called it yet
Model: ti-engine-1.1 · not yet fitted to real outcomes

Beat the Index

How likely is Camara to join Liverpool?

You

15%

The Index

15%

Gap

Index

No chanceCoin flipNailed on

Drag to make your call. The Index says 15%.

Free. Takes 10 seconds. Your call is timestamped the moment you save.

Written only from reports we’ve checked

Why 15%?

Nobody we trust has reported anything solid yet, so the Index assumes Camara stays put (61%). Rumours from unchecked sources don’t count until a checked source backs them up.

The Index’s official wording, as recorded

No reviewed source has reported meaningful progress, so the Index assumes Lamine Camara stays put (61%). Unverified rumours carry no weight until a reviewed source reports them.

The evidence

Nothing solid yet. The Index is going on base rates.

What’s against it

Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.

The situation this week

This saga is less than a week old.

Number last recalculated 4h ago

What to watch

The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.

A reliable report that Liverpool are interested15→25%Liverpool
A reliable report that Liverpool have gone cold15→2%Liverpool
Chelsea putting in a bid15→65%Chelsea
Talk of a new contract61→97%Stays

Every way it could go. Adds up to 100%

Who’s winning the race?

STAYStays at Monaco62%
LIVLiverpool15%
CHEChelsea15%
OTHAnother club8%

Bar = the Index. Purple tick = what the fans think (0 fans).

Split your call across every outcomeIt’s a race, so you can back more than one club.

Beat the Index

What’s your call?

Calls close 1 Feb. Change your mind any time before then.

You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.

You

Index

STAYStays at MonacoIndex 6262%
=
LIVLiverpoolIndex 1515%
=
CHEChelseaIndex 1515%
=
OTHAnother clubIndex 88%
=

If it ends like this…

STAYStays at Monacolevel with the Index

LIVLiverpoollevel with the Index

CHEChelsealevel with the Index

OTHAnother clublevel with the Index

No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.

Every update is kept, and none are ever rewritten

The story so far

IndexCrowd

Who reported it first, who added something new, and who just repeated it

The evidence trail

0 independent sources counted · earliest report we hold: 28 Oct by Sky Germany (Florian Plettenberg) · latest 6d ago

0 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.

28 Oct, 00:00·InterestLIVUnconfirmed · not counted yet
Liverpool interested. (our summary)
Sky Germany (Florian Plettenberg)Tier 2 · ReliableOriginal report ↗

Who’s moving the number, and by how much