Arsenal linked with Carlos Forbs
The Index reckons Forbs stays put.
The question: where will Forbs be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Latest credible report: Interest (reported, not confirmed) · Ekrem Konur · 5d ago · Original report ↗
One independent source now reports interest.
- New report: Ekrem Konur, interest (Arsenal), 5d ago · Original report ↗
Could be anywhere from 1% to 25%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Being watched
- Last update
- 35m ago
- The fans say
Early · 1 sourceAn early read: one lower-tier source (Ekrem Konur) so far, so the figure is small and moves little until another source agrees.
Latest
Every report, in order ↓- InterestARS7h ago
Interest: Carlos Forbs to Arsenal
EkremkonurUnreviewedNot counted yet - InterestARS5d ago
Interest: Carlos Forbs to Arsenal
Ekrem KonurTier 4 · LowCounted in the Index
How likely is Forbs to join Arsenal?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 10%.
Why 10%?
The Index reckons Forbs stays (79%). There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 79%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.
The evidence
- ARS
Interest: Carlos Forbs to Arsenal
Ekrem Konur · Tier 4 · Low · 5d ago · View on X ↗
What’s against it
Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.
The situation this week
This saga is less than a week old.
Number last recalculated 35m ago · latest report 5d ago
What to watch
The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.
- A reliable report that Arsenal have enquired10→29%Arsenal
- A reliable report that Arsenal have gone cold10→1%Arsenal
Split your call across every outcomeFor when you think it’s going somewhere else entirely.
What’s your call?
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- STAYStays at BruggeIndex 7979%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 1111%=
- ARSArsenalIndex 1010%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
The story so far
Does the club need him?
Context, not part of the IndexHe’d strengthen a weaker area: dribbling (14th of 20 in their league; he’s 80th percentile).
- creatinghim 86 · them 1st of 20
- dribblinghim 80 · them 14th of 20
His strongest areas (70th percentile and up) against where each club’s regulars rank in its league.
What’s driving it?
Context, not part of the IndexManager: Mikel Arteta · 6 years in the job
Who decides the signing. Manager pressure from rated reporting in the last 30 days.
The evidence trail
1 independent source counted · earliest report we hold: 7 Nov by Ekrem Konur · latest 7h ago
1 original · 0 corroborating · 1 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
Ekremkonur reports that Arsenal are interested in Carlos Forbs. Reported asking price: €23m.
Ekrem Konur reports that Arsenal are interested in Carlos Forbs.
What they’re saying
No pundit has weighed in on this one yet. Their takes appear here as they post about it. See every take on the Live wire.
The small print
- Status
- Open for calls
- Scoring window
- 7 Nov → 1 Feb, 23:00
- Rule applied
- R2/R3 — locks at official announcement or deadline
- Evidence
- Pending
Only official club or league confirmation resolves a move. “Done deal” reports never lock a situation. Full rulebook