Where’s Endrick heading?
The Index reckons Endrick stays put.
The question: where will Endrick be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Latest credible report: Interest (reported, not confirmed) · Ekrem Konur · 2d ago · Original report ↗
Two independent sources now report interest.
- New report: Ekrem Konur, interest (Milan), 2d ago · Original report ↗
- New report: TEAMtalk, interest (Arsenal), 3d ago · Original report ↗
Could be anywhere from 2% to 32%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Being watched
- Last update
- 4h ago
- The fans say
- Nobody’s called it yet
Endrick to Milan: 17% on the SWOOP Index (3 Nov, 18:15, UK time).
The link always shows the Index as it stood at that time, even after it moves.
How likely is Endrick to join Milan?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 17%.
Why 17%?
The Index reckons Endrick stays (59%). Milan are still in the hunt at 17%. There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 59%. Milan remain a live alternative at 17%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.
The evidence
- MIL
AC Milan want him on loan.
Ekrem Konur · Tier 4 · Low · 2d ago · Original report ↗
What’s against it
Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.
The situation this week
This saga is less than a week old.
Number last recalculated 4h ago · latest report 2d ago
What to watch
The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.
- A reliable report that Milan have enquired17→35%Milan
- A reliable report that Milan have gone cold17→2%Milan
- Arsenal putting in a bid17→66%Arsenal
- Talk of a new contract59→97%Stays
Who’s winning the race?
- OTHAnother club8%
Bar = the Index. Purple tick = what the fans think (0 fans).
Split your call across every outcomeIt’s a race, so you can back more than one club.
What’s your call?
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- STAYStays at Real MadridIndex 5858%=
- MILMilanIndex 1717%=
- ARSArsenalIndex 1717%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 88%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
The story so far
The evidence trail
2 independent sources counted · earliest report we hold: 1 Nov by TEAMtalk · latest 2d ago
2 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
AC Milan want him on loan. (our summary)
Arsenal interested. (our summary)
Every source, weighed
- MILEkrem KonurT4Interest · 2d ago
- ARSTEAMtalkT4Interest · 3d ago
- Weight = how far along the report says it is × how reliable the source is × how fresh it is. Five outlets repeating one journalist count once.
The small print
- Status
- Open for calls
- Scoring window
- 2 Nov → 1 Feb, 23:00
- Rule applied
- R2/R3 — locks at official announcement or deadline
- Evidence
- Pending
Only official club or league confirmation resolves a move. “Done deal” reports never lock a situation. Full rulebook