VFBVfB Stuttgart·Player profile·Centre-back

Where’s Finn Jeltsch heading?

The Index reckons Jeltsch stays put.

The question: where will Jeltsch be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?

OPENCalls close in …

A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.

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Latest credible report: Interest (reported, not confirmed) · El Nacional · 4d ago · Original report ↗

In the last 7 days

Two independent sources now report interest.

New report: El Nacional, interest (Liverpool), 4d ago · Original report ↗
New report: SPORT, interest (Barcelona), 7d ago · Original report ↗

BARChance of Barcelona

±0

15%

Something in itNot much to go on

Could be anywhere from 1% to 30%. Not much to go on yet.

Pub talkSomething in itHeating upGetting closeImminent

Where it’s at: Being watched
Last update: 6h ago
The fans say: Nobody’s called it yet
Model: ti-engine-1.1 · not yet fitted to real outcomes

Cite this

Finn Jeltsch to Barcelona: 15% on the SWOOP Index (4 Nov, 00:15, UK time).

The link always shows the Index as it stood at that time, even after it moves.

Latest

Every report, in order ↓

You came for thisInterestBAR7d ago
Barcelona interested.
SPORTTier 3 · MixedCounted in the Index
In context ↓Original report ↗
InterestLIV4d ago
Interest: Finn Jeltsch to Liverpool
Ekrem KonurTier 3 · MixedNot counted yet
In context ↓View on X ↗
InterestBAR4d ago
Interest: Finn Jeltsch to Barcelona
Ekrem KonurTier 3 · MixedNot counted yet
In context ↓View on X ↗

Beat the Index

How likely is Jeltsch to join Barcelona?

You

15%

The Index

15%

Gap

Index

No chanceCoin flipNailed on

Drag to make your call. The Index says 15%.

Free. Takes 10 seconds. Your call is timestamped the moment you save.

Written only from reports we’ve checked

Why 15%?

The Index reckons Jeltsch stays (51%). Barcelona are still in the hunt at 15%. There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.

The Index’s official wording, as recorded

The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 51%. Barcelona remain a live alternative at 15%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.

The evidence

BAR
Barcelona interested.
SPORT · Tier 3 · Mixed · 7d ago · Original report ↗

What’s against it

Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.

The situation this week

This saga is less than a week old.

Number last recalculated 6h ago · latest report 4d ago

What to watch

The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.

A reliable report that Barcelona have enquired15→32%Barcelona
A reliable report that Barcelona have gone cold15→2%Barcelona
Liverpool putting in a bid14→62%Liverpool
Talk of a new contract51→96%Stays

Every way it could go. Adds up to 100%

Who’s winning the race?

Bar = the Index. Purple tick = what the fans think (0 fans).

Split your call across every outcomeIt’s a race, so you can back more than one club.

Beat the Index

What’s your call?

Calls close 1 Feb. Change your mind any time before then.

You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.

You

Index

STAYStays at StuttgartIndex 5151%
=
BARBarcelonaIndex 1515%
=
LIVLiverpoolIndex 1414%
=
RMAReal MadridIndex 1313%
=
OTHAnother clubIndex 77%
=

If it ends like this…

STAYStays at Stuttgartlevel with the Index

BARBarcelonalevel with the Index

LIVLiverpoollevel with the Index

RMAReal Madridlevel with the Index

OTHAnother clublevel with the Index

No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.

Every update is kept, and none are ever rewritten

The story so far

IndexCrowd

Who reported it first, who added something new, and who just repeated it

The evidence trail

2 independent sources counted · earliest report we hold: 28 Oct by SPORT · latest 4d ago

2 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.

31 Oct, 09:00·InterestLIVNot counted yet
Interest: Finn Jeltsch to Liverpool (our summary of a post on X)
Ekrem KonurTier 3 · MixedView on X ↗
31 Oct, 09:00·InterestBARNot counted yet
Interest: Finn Jeltsch to Barcelona (our summary of a post on X)
Ekrem KonurTier 3 · MixedView on X ↗
31 Oct, 00:00·InterestLIVOriginal report
Liverpool interested. (our summary)
El NacionalTier 4 · LowOriginal report ↗
28 Oct, 00:00·InterestBAREarliest report we hold
Barcelona interested. (our summary)
SPORTTier 3 · MixedOriginal report ↗

Who’s moving the number, and by how much

Every source, weighed

BARSPORTT3
Interest · 7d ago
LIVEl NacionalT4
Interest · 4d ago
Weight = how far along the report says it is × how reliable the source is × how fresh it is. Five outlets repeating one journalist count once.