Where’s Jacobo Ramón heading?
The Index isn’t convinced Ramón is going anywhere yet.
The question: where will Ramón be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Latest credible report: Interest (reported, not confirmed) · Daily Mail · 4d ago · Original report ↗
Two independent sources now report interest.
- New report: Daily Mail, interest (Arsenal), 4d ago · Original report ↗
- New report: Tuttomercatoweb, interest (Man Utd), 6d ago · Original report ↗
Could be anywhere from 1% to 31%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Being watched
- Last update
- 4h ago
- The fans say
- Nobody’s called it yet
Jacobo Ramón to Arsenal: 16% on the SWOOP Index (3 Nov, 18:15, UK time).
The link always shows the Index as it stood at that time, even after it moves.
How likely is Ramón to join Arsenal?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 16%.
Why 16%?
The Index reckons Ramón stays (50%). Arsenal are still in the hunt at 16%. There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 50%. Arsenal remain a live alternative at 16%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.
The evidence
- ARS
Arsenal, Chelsea and Man Utd interested.
Daily Mail · Tier 3 · Mixed · 4d ago · Original report ↗
What’s against it
Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.
The situation this week
This saga is less than a week old.
Number last recalculated 4h ago · latest report 4d ago
What to watch
The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.
- A reliable report that Arsenal have enquired16→32%Arsenal
- A reliable report that Arsenal have gone cold16→2%Arsenal
- Man Utd putting in a bid15→63%Man Utd
- Talk of a new contract50→96%Stays
Split your call across every outcomeIt’s a race, so you can back more than one club.
What’s your call?
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- STAYStays at ComoIndex 5050%=
- ARSArsenalIndex 1616%=
- MUNMan UtdIndex 1515%=
- CHEChelseaIndex 1212%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 77%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
The story so far
The evidence trail
2 independent sources counted · earliest report we hold: 29 Oct by Tuttomercatoweb · latest 4d ago
2 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
Arsenal, Chelsea and Man Utd interested. (our summary)
Man Utd interested. (our summary)
Every source, weighed
- ARSDaily MailT3Interest · 4d ago
- MUNTuttomercatowebT3Interest · 6d ago
- Weight = how far along the report says it is × how reliable the source is × how fresh it is. Five outlets repeating one journalist count once.
The small print
- Status
- Open for calls
- Scoring window
- 2 Nov → 1 Feb, 23:00
- Rule applied
- R2/R3 — locks at official announcement or deadline
- Evidence
- Pending
Only official club or league confirmation resolves a move. “Done deal” reports never lock a situation. Full rulebook