Where’s Lamine Camara heading?
The Index reckons Camara stays put.
The question: where will Camara be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
Embed on your site
A live SWOOP Index widget for your article or site. It updates itself, links back here, and is free to use. No sign-up, no cookies.
Latest credible report: Interest (reported, not confirmed) · Sky Germany (Florian Plettenberg) · 7d ago · Original report ↗
One independent source now reports interest.
- New report: Sky Germany (Florian Plettenberg), interest (Liverpool), 7d ago · Original report ↗
Could be anywhere from 5% to 35%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Being watched
- Last update
- 5h ago
- The fans say
- Nobody’s called it yet
Lamine Camara to Liverpool: 20% on the SWOOP Index (4 Nov, 00:15, UK time).
The link always shows the Index as it stood at that time, even after it moves.
Latest
Every report, in order ↓- You came for thisInterestLIV7d ago
Liverpool interested.
Sky Germany (Florian Plettenberg)Tier 2 · ReliableCounted in the Index
How likely is Camara to join Liverpool?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 20%.
Why 20%?
The Index reckons Camara stays (58%). Liverpool are still in the hunt at 20%. There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 58%. Liverpool remain a live alternative at 20%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.
The evidence
- LIV
Liverpool interested.
Sky Germany (Florian Plettenberg) · Tier 2 · Reliable · 7d ago · Original report ↗
What’s against it
Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.
The situation this week
This saga is less than a week old.
Number last recalculated 5h ago · latest report 7d ago
What to watch
The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.
- A reliable report that Liverpool have enquired20→38%Liverpool
- A reliable report that Liverpool have gone cold20→2%Liverpool
- Chelsea putting in a bid14→63%Chelsea
- Talk of a new contract58→97%Stays
Who’s winning the race?
- OTHAnother club8%
Bar = the Index. Purple tick = what the fans think (0 fans).
Split your call across every outcomeIt’s a race, so you can back more than one club.
What’s your call?
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- STAYStays at MonacoIndex 5858%=
- LIVLiverpoolIndex 2020%=
- CHEChelseaIndex 1414%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 88%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
The story so far
The evidence trail
1 independent source counted · earliest report we hold: 28 Oct by Sky Germany (Florian Plettenberg) · latest 7d ago
1 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
Liverpool interested. (our summary)
Every source, weighed
- LIVSky Germany (Florian Plettenberg)T2Interest · 7d ago
- Weight = how far along the report says it is × how reliable the source is × how fresh it is. Five outlets repeating one journalist count once.
What they’re saying
No pundit has weighed in on this one yet. Their takes appear here as they post about it. See the Pundits.
The small print
- Status
- Open for calls
- Scoring window
- 2 Nov → 1 Feb, 23:00
- Rule applied
- R2/R3 — locks at official announcement or deadline
- Evidence
- Pending
Only official club or league confirmation resolves a move. “Done deal” reports never lock a situation. Full rulebook