Where’s Luka Vušković heading?
The Index isn’t convinced Vušković is going anywhere yet.
The question: where will Vušković be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Latest credible report: Interest (reported, not confirmed) · TEAMtalk · 10d ago · Original report ↗
Could be anywhere from 1% to 27%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Being watched
- Last update
- 5h ago
- The fans say
- Nobody’s called it yet
Luka Vušković to Liverpool: 12% on the SWOOP Index (4 Nov, 00:15, UK time).
The link always shows the Index as it stood at that time, even after it moves.
Latest
Every report, in order ↓- You came for thisInterestLIV11d ago
Liverpool interested.
Football InsiderTier 3 · MixedCounted in the Index - InterestCHE10d ago
Chelsea interested.
TEAMtalkTier 4 · LowCounted in the Index
How likely is Vušković to join Liverpool?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 12%.
Why 12%?
The Index reckons Vušković stays (41%). There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 41%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.
The evidence
- LIV
Liverpool interested.
Football Insider · Tier 3 · Mixed · 11d ago · Original report ↗
What’s against it
Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.
The situation this week
This saga is less than a week old.
Number last recalculated 5h ago · latest report 10d ago
What to watch
The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.
- A reliable report that Liverpool have enquired12→26%Liverpool
- A reliable report that Liverpool have gone cold12→1%Liverpool
- Chelsea putting in a bid11→55%Chelsea
- Talk of a new contract41→95%Stays
Split your call across every outcomeIt’s a race, so you can back more than one club.
What’s your call?
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- STAYStays at BrightonIndex 4141%=
- LIVLiverpoolIndex 1212%=
- CHEChelseaIndex 1111%=
- RMAReal MadridIndex 1010%=
- BAYBayernIndex 1010%=
- BARBarcelonaIndex 1010%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 66%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
The story so far
The evidence trail
2 independent sources counted · earliest report we hold: 24 Oct by Football Insider · latest 10d ago
2 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
Chelsea interested. (our summary)
Liverpool interested. (our summary)
Every source, weighed
- LIVFootball InsiderT3Interest · 11d ago
- CHETEAMtalkT4Interest · 10d ago
- Weight = how far along the report says it is × how reliable the source is × how fresh it is. Five outlets repeating one journalist count once.
What they’re saying
No pundit has weighed in on this one yet. Their takes appear here as they post about it. See the Pundits.
The small print
- Status
- Open for calls
- Scoring window
- 2 Nov → 1 Feb, 23:00
- Rule applied
- R2/R3 — locks at official announcement or deadline
- Evidence
- Pending
Only official club or league confirmation resolves a move. “Done deal” reports never lock a situation. Full rulebook