CHEChelsea·Player profile·Right-back·23·France

Where’s Malo Gusto heading?

The Index isn’t convinced Gusto is going anywhere yet.

The question: where will Gusto be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?

OPENCalls close in …

A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.

Embed on your site

A live SWOOP Index widget for your article or site. It updates itself, links back here, and is free to use. No sign-up, no cookies.

How embeds work

<iframe src="https://swoopfc.com/embed/saga/january-2027-malo-gusto" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;max-width:640px;width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Malo Gusto on the SWOOP Index"></iframe>

Latest credible report: Interest (reported, not confirmed) · TEAMtalk · 11d ago · Original report ↗

LIVChance of Liverpool

▲ 1

12%

Pub talkNot much to go on

Could be anywhere from 1% to 27%. Not much to go on yet.

Pub talkSomething in itHeating upGetting closeSwooped?

Where it’s at: Being watched
Last update: 4h ago
The fans say: Nobody’s called it yet
Model: ti-engine-1.1 · not yet fitted to real outcomes

Cite this

Malo Gusto to Liverpool: 12% on the SWOOP Index (3 Nov, 18:15, UK time).

The link always shows the Index as it stood at that time, even after it moves.

Beat the Index

How likely is Gusto to join Liverpool?

You

12%

The Index

12%

Gap

Index

No chanceCoin flipNailed on

Drag to make your call. The Index says 12%.

Free. Takes 10 seconds. Your call is timestamped the moment you save.

Written only from reports we’ve checked

Why 12%?

The Index reckons Gusto stays (41%). There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.

The Index’s official wording, as recorded

The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 41%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.

The evidence

LIV
Liverpool among several interested clubs.
Flashscore · Tier 3 · Mixed · 13d ago · Original report ↗

What’s against it

Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.

The situation this week

This saga is less than a week old.

Number last recalculated 4h ago · latest report 11d ago

What to watch

The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.

A reliable report that Liverpool have enquired12→26%Liverpool
A reliable report that Liverpool have gone cold12→1%Liverpool
Man City putting in a bid11→55%Man City
Talk of a new contract41→95%Stays

Every way it could go. Adds up to 100%

Who’s winning the race?

STAYStays at Chelsea41%
LIVLiverpool12%
MCIMan City11%
ATMAtlético10%
BAYBayern10%
PSGPSG10%
OTHAnother club6%

Bar = the Index. Purple tick = what the fans think (0 fans).

Split your call across every outcomeIt’s a race, so you can back more than one club.

Beat the Index

What’s your call?

Calls close 1 Feb. Change your mind any time before then.

You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.

You

Index

STAYStays at ChelseaIndex 4141%
=
LIVLiverpoolIndex 1212%
=
MCIMan CityIndex 1111%
=
ATMAtléticoIndex 1010%
=
BAYBayernIndex 1010%
=
PSGPSGIndex 1010%
=
OTHAnother clubIndex 66%
=

If it ends like this…

STAYStays at Chelsealevel with the Index

LIVLiverpoollevel with the Index

MCIMan Citylevel with the Index

ATMAtléticolevel with the Index

BAYBayernlevel with the Index

PSGPSGlevel with the Index

OTHAnother clublevel with the Index

No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.

Every update is kept, and none are ever rewritten

The story so far

IndexCrowd

Who reported it first, who added something new, and who just repeated it

The evidence trail

2 independent sources counted · earliest report we hold: 22 Oct by Flashscore · latest 11d ago

2 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.

24 Oct, 01:00·InterestMCIOriginal report
Man City interested. (our summary)
TEAMtalkTier 4 · LowOriginal report ↗
22 Oct, 01:00·InterestLIVEarliest report we hold
Liverpool among several interested clubs. (our summary)
FlashscoreTier 3 · MixedOriginal report ↗

Who’s moving the number, and by how much

Every source, weighed

LIVFlashscoreT3
Interest · 13d ago
MCITEAMtalkT4
Interest · 11d ago
Weight = how far along the report says it is × how reliable the source is × how fresh it is. Five outlets repeating one journalist count once.